Forecasting

The Kenan Institute builds robust tools and conducts rigorous analysis on vital economic issues. Led by our chief economist, the research team creates forecasts predicting economic growth, employment and affordability to support data-driven analysis through reports, newsletters and webinars.   


American Growth Project

The American Growth Project examines the indicators driving the wellbeing of all Continental U.S. economies. Understanding the unique combination that makes each of them succeed is vital to unlocking their full potential for workers, businesses, communities and policymakers.

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Extended Metropolitan Area GDP Growth Rates

This map visualizes GDP growth rates for 150 Extended Metropolitan Areas (EMAs), with options to view a forecast of the one-year GDP growth rate for 2026 and to see how GDP has changed over a one-, five- or 10-year period.


North Carolina Economic Forecasting Initiative

The North Carolina Economic Forecasting Initiative provides county-level nowcast and forecast economic data to support economic develop­ment across North Carolina. The Kenan Institute employs advanced data modeling, translational research to community engagement efforts to make forecasts relevant and actionable.

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County GDP Map


Empowering American Cities

The Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise at the University of North Carolina uses proprietary statistical techniques to analyze data for microeconomies representing 88% of U.S. economic activity, while Fifth Third Bank provides in-depth local knowledge that comes from 165 years of serving communities. Together, they generate insights supporting sustained business growth and healthy communities that extend beyond traditional banking solutions.

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Happy Economist Logo

A Kenan Institute newsletter helping you better understand (and enjoy!) the ins and outs of the U.S. economy.

Illustration depicting workers walking in front of office builsings

Work is increasingly transactional — and the data show it! “The Happy Economist” continues to explore #RenegotiatingWork, the changing nature of mutual commitment between employers and employees.