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Market-Based Solutions to Vital Economic Issues
Research
Mar 15, 2016

Momentum and Reversal: Does What Goes Up Always Come Down?

Abstract

Stocks in a momentum portfolio, which contribute to momentum profits, do not experience reversal in the long run. Conversely, stocks that do not contribute to momentum profits exhibit subsequent reversals. Merging these separate securities into a single portfolio causes momentum and reversal patterns to appear linked. Stocks with momentum can be separated from those that exhibit reversal using stock characteristics. A portfolio that isolates momentum stocks displays large and persistent risk-adjusted returns, which do not vary with behavioral proxies. Our results provide some direction for potential explanations of momentum patterns in returns.

Note: Research papers posted on SSRN, including any findings, may differ from the final version chosen for publication in academic journals.


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