Since 2001, the number of financial statement line items forecasted by analysts and managers that I/B/E/S and FactSet capture in their data feeds has soared. Using this new data, we find that 13 item surprises—11 income statement and 2 cash flow statement analyst and management guidance surprises—reliably explain firms’ signed earnings announcement returns.
Goals and the performance feedback on those goals are fundamental to organizational learning and adaptation. However, most research has focused on single overall, high-level organizational goals, while ignoring important operational goals farther down in the goal hierarchy.
On Wednesday, April 4, the Frank Hawkins Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise and UNC-Chapel Hill’s Kenan-Flagler Business School will present a lecture by private equity guru and philanthropist Steve Schwarzman. The event, which is part of the 2017-18 Dean’s Speaker Series, will take place at 2:30 p.m. at the Kenan Center in Chapel Hill.
The practice of detailing in the marketing of prescription drugs is undergoing significant changes because of restrictions imposed by regulatory policy as well as by access restrictions placed by physicians. To analyze the strategic impact of these restrictions, we develop a structural model of how pharmaceutical firms compete dynamically to schedule detailing to physicians.
In a continuing effort to examine the business sector's contributions to inclusive economic growth, join us April 10-11 for two days of discussions and exploration during the third annual Conference on Market-Based Solutions for Reducing Wealth Inequality.
In this edition of the Dean Speaker Series, join us for an engaging lunchtime keynote with Dean Mary Margaret Frank and Nate Holobinko on Friday, November 8, as a part of the 2024 UNC Business of Healthcare Conference.
By showcasing the power of business in contributing to societal good, we aim to enlighten and motivate students from all academic disciplines about the positive impact they can make through...
Ride-hailing services are an essential mode of transportation for millions worldwide. The rapid growth of this service has raised concerns about its environmental impact. To address these concerns, ride-hailing companies are adding or introducing environmentally friendly vehicles (e.g., electric vehicles) to their platforms. However, it is not clear how adding such "green" vehicles will affect the environment and customers. To our knowledge, this paper is the first to analyze this question theoretically.
Amendment of IAS 39 by the IASB in 2008 provided an option to reclassify investments from fair value to historical cost. We predict that too-important-to-fail (TITF) banks took less advantage of this option because the political protection they enjoyed insulated them from regulatory pressure. Banks that did not enjoy this protection had greater reason to make use of this option since doing so would protect their Tier 1 capital.
We measure a bank’s connectedness by constructing a measure of its text similarity with other banks based on 10-K business description and MD&A discussions. We find that tail-risk comovement between a given bank and the banking system is increasing in the bank’s average similarity.
We evaluate the performance of two popular systemic risk measures, CoVaR and SRISK, during eight financial panics in the era before FDIC insurance. Bank stock price and balance sheet data were not readily available for this time period. We rectify this shortcoming by constructing a novel dataset for the New York banking system before 1933.
In the electronics industry and beyond, original design manufacturers (ODMs) provide a full spectrum of services, ranging from design and development to manufacturing, to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs).
We evaluate sell-side equity analysts’ multiyear forecasted income statements, balance sheets and cash flow statements, and the profitability, efficiency and leverage ratios that they imply.
We examine how abnormal dark market share changes at earnings announcements and find a statistically and economically significant increase in abnormal dark market share in the weeks prior to, during, and following the earnings announcement.
The prevailing view of implied volatility comovements, IVC, defined as the correlation between a firm’s implied volatility and the market’s implied volatility, is that they indicate the presence of systematic volatility risk to the firm’s investors. We take a different stance and conjecture that implied volatility comovements can also indicate expected information arrival for both the firm and aggregate equity markets, and we find evidence supporting this view.
We investigate Chinese firms’ use of variable interest entities (VIEs) to evade Chinese regulation on foreign ownership and list in the US. VIEs are explicitly designed to circumvent the intent of Chinese law on foreign control, and potentially exacerbate agency conflicts within the firm.
We investigate the effect of CFO narcissism, as measured by signature size, on financial reporting quality. Experimentally, we validate that narcissism predicts misreporting behavior, and that signature size predicts misreporting through its association with narcissism.
Firms should disclose information on material cyber-attacks. However, because managers have incentives to withhold negative information, and investors cannot discover most cyber-attacks independently, firms may underreport them. Using data on cyber-attacks that firms voluntarily disclosed, and those that were withheld and later discovered by sources outside the firm, we estimate the extent to which firms withhold information on cyber-attacks.
We examine the effect of paying higher wages on firm performance during the 2008 financial crisis. To identify variation in wages, we rely on heterogeneity in the timing of long-term wage agreements for a sample of UK firms. We instrument for firms signing long-term agreements overlapping with the crisis by the presence of a contract signed in 2006 or earlier and expiring before September 2008. Treated firms paid higher wages but also realized greater labor productivity relative to control firms. These findings are consistent with the intuition that opportunity cost differentials between treated and control firms induce employees to exert higher effort.
We propose a novel method of estimating default probabilities using equity option data. The resulting default probabilities are highly correlated with estimates of default probabilities extracted from CDS spreads, which assume constant recovery rates. Additionally, the option implied default probabilities are higher in bad economic times and for firms with poorer credit ratings and financial positions.