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The paper studies the nowcasting of Euro area Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth using mixed data sampling machine learning panel data regressions with both standard macro releases and daily news data.
Jul 3, 2024
Watch Our Childcare Expert on PBS NC
UNC-Chapel Hill professor and Kenan Institute expert Iheoma U. Iruka took part in a roundtable discussion on the "childcare cliff" on PBS NC’s “State Lines” July 5. The episode is available online.
The disproportionate emphasis on firm closures during crises, such as the recent pandemic, may overlook potential variations in firm exit rates across markets. Ignoring that variation likely hinders accurate insights though, as are required by both practitioners and policy makers. To investigate variable firm closure rates across markets, this study proposes a firm closure model that integrates the unique roles of the market structure (number of firms and firm type), firm responsiveness, pandemic intensity, and their interactions.
Business Resilience
An analysis shows the overall number of suppliers and countries supplying goods did not change significantly from 2019 to 2021. Companies did shift away from riskier countries like China, and delivery patterns also changed.
In 2022, in-migration slowed, and out-migration accelerated, reducing the role of net migration in North Carolina statewide population growth, according to recently released Census data. For the Tarheel state, we document changes in gross and net migration flows between 2021 and 2022, highlight possible drivers, and offer anecdotal evidence as to why the revealed changes may foreshadow a longer- term shift in migration’s role in statewide population change.
With direct care facilities and workers in crisis, we explore trends behind the labor shortages in the industry as well as a menu of solutions that could possibly alleviate the issue.
How will sweeping changes in primary care services and providers affect the primary care workforce? We examine this question as well as how well the increasing demand for these services can be met in the future.
As part of our 2023 grand challenge, we survey factors such as demographics, health trends, immigration and childcare that are essential to understanding the dynamics now at play regarding the supply of workers in the labor force.
Given that mask-wearing proved to be an important tool to slow the spread of infection during the COVID-19 pandemic, investigating the psychological and cultural factors that influence norms for mask wearing across cultures is exceptionally important. One factor that may influence mask wearing behavior is the degree to which people believe masks potentially impair emotion recognition.
As President Xi Jinping officially begins his third term leading China, his ideological approach will be tested by instability - both within and outside his country.
Join the Center for the Business of Health for the 12th annual UNC Business of Healthcare Conference, "The Role of Innovation in Value-Based Health" on Friday, Nov. 4, 2022 at UNC Kenan-Flagler Business School.
Commercial Real Estate Faces Challenges, Not a Crisis
Some are worrying about the future of commercial real estate because of recent falls in valuations. Our expert discusses the challenges facing CRE and how to disentangle the trends that are shaking up the sector.