In the institute’s May 2 briefing, Research Economist Sarah Dickerson reviewed another surprisingly solid employment report, weighing it with falling consumer confidence and a raft of other indicators both positive and negative in an effort to get clarity on the future of the economy.
Key Takeaways from the May 2025 Economic Briefing
“Strong Jobs, Weak Confidence”
With Kenan Institute Research Economist Sarah Dickerson
Each month, experts from the Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise interpret the latest employment report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and what it means for our economy.
April’s jobs report delivered a dose of optimism but signs of stress beneath the surface have economists watching key indicators closely.
Jobs: A Bright Spot in a Cloudy Outlook
Confidence Is Cracking
Tariffs and GDP Slowdown
“I do think that the risk of a recession is higher than it was previously … but we’re still more likely to see this gradual economic slowdown rather than a full-blown recession.” – Sarah Dickerson, research economist at the Kenan Institute
What We’re Watching
A few wild cards could influence a recession outcome:
And join us for our next economic briefing Friday, June 6, to see if we’re trending toward a recession or holding strong. Register HERE.