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Market-Based Solutions to Vital Economic Issues
Research
Nov 27, 2015

Volatility Risk Pass-Through

Abstract

We produce novel empirical evidence on the relevance of output volatility (vol) shocks for both currency and international quantity dynamics. Focusing on G-17 countries, we document that: (1) consumption and output vols are imperfectly correlated within countries; (2) across countries, consumption vol is more correlated than output vol; (3) the pass-through of relative output vol shocks onto relative consumption vol is significant, especially for small countries; and (4) consumption differentials vol and exchange rate vol are disconnected. We rationalize these findings in a frictionless model with multiple goods and recursive preferences featuring a novel and rich risk-sharing of vol shocks.

Note: Research papers posted on SSRN, including any findings, may differ from the final version chosen for publication in academic journals.


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