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Market-Based Solutions to Vital Economic Issues


Kenan Institute 2023 Grand Challenge: Workforce Disrupted
Market-Based Solutions to Vital Economic Issues



Inflation has come down but may still have some fight left in it. One concern is what happens going forward as the relief from pandemic price pressures disappears, but deflationary tailwinds are no longer there.

Join us for the Kenan Institute’s monthly virtual press briefing at 9 a.m. EDT this Friday, Dec. 8, as professor and former executive director Greg Brown shares his thoughts on where inflation may be headed from here.

Since March 2022, the Federal Reserve has battled the highest inflation in decades with interest rate increases whose effects are only now starting to be seen. So does this mean the era of rate hikes is coming to an end?

Join the Center for the Business of Health for sessions including the rising price of drugs, the influence of consolidation on healthcare prices and costs, and the AI boom and reducing healthcare prices. Meals are included for in-person attendees.

With gas prices on the rise, inflation numbers will look less favorable. How should the Federal Reserve handle this, and what does it mean for the economy? Join us for a discussion Friday.

Have the chances of a recession arriving in the next year decreased? Institute Executive Director Greg Brown laid out the conflicting economic indicators around this question and offered his analysis of the Aug. 4 employment report, which showed 187,000 jobs added in July. He also answered questions on the yield curve’s performance and the potential effects of Fitch’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating.

Join us for the Kenan Institute’s monthly virtual press briefing at 9 a.m. EDT this Friday, Aug. 4, as Executive Director Greg Brown discusses whether declining inflation has put an economic soft landing back on the table.

Institute Chief Economist Gerald Cohen offered his analysis of the July 7 jobs report, which showed an additional 209,000 jobs in June, and discussed why the Fed may be looking at interest rates increases in the near future but not beyond that.

Institute Executive Director Greg Brown offered his analysis of the June 2 employment report and talked about why now may be a good time to tackle the country’s spending and revenue issues.


UNC Kenan-Flagler Business School’s Christian Lundblad offered his analysis of the May 5 employment report, which showed employers adding 253,000 jobs in April, far above forecasts. He also answered questions about the Fed’s next move and what a sharp revision in March’s numbers might mean.

When policymakers implement a disinflation program directed at high inflation, the real dollar value of their country’s stock market index experiences a cumulative abnormal 12-month return of 48 percent in anticipation of the event. In contrast, the average cumulative abnormal 12-month return associated with disinflations directed at moderate inflation is negative 18 percent. The 66-percentage point difference between cumulative abnormal returns, along with descriptive evidence and case studies, suggests that unlike the swift eradication of past high inflations documented by Sargent (1982), the US will not experience a quick, low-cost transition from moderate inflation to the Fed’s two-percent target.

The economy continued to add jobs in March, but Chief Economist Gerald Cohen pointed out some underlying indicators that point to a slowdown. Also: effects from March’s bank collapses.